Faith and secularism
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- Atheist Ireland Member
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I was wrong (and I'm, glad I was) about the Bradley effect.
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Many people think it was her that ruined the campaign. It was the choice of her as VP and the prospect of her as president that turned the likes of Christopher Hitchens to the democrat side.smashingpumpkin wrote:it looks like obama will do it,
but i would'nt be surprised if mcain pulls it out of the bag.
the scary thing is that the republican party are apparantly already planning for 2012 with sarah palin as the candidate!
say what you want about john mcain but at least he's not a creationist nutcase.
So I do hope she is the nominee for 2012, it will mean 4 more years of obama.
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DollarLama wrote:I was wrong (and I'm, glad I was) about the Bradley effect.
So now they'll shoot him................

Shooting Presidents is an American tradition. It's as Americna as apple pie..
Human communication is a very rickety rope bridge between minds. Its too narrow to allow but a few thoughts to cross at a time. Many are lost in the chasms of noise, suspicion, misinterpretation and shooting the message through dislike of the messenger.
So that myth has been put to bed. How about the other 'elephant in the rooom' that 95% of black people voted for Obama. Can we call them racists or is that only reserved for white people?DollarLama wrote:Nah, he won't get assassinated. He just won't get elected. What's the elephant in the room that nobody in the media talks about but is the first thing in every US voter's mind?
That depends on the number of black voters who voted for Obama because McCain is white, as opposed to those who voted for him because they think he was the best man for the job.micfur wrote:How about the other 'elephant in the rooom' that 95% of black people voted for Obama. Can we call them racists... or is that only reserved for white people?
The analysis suggests that around 17% of both whites and blacks, voted for racial reasons. So I guess the answers to your questions are no, 95% of black voters aren't racist, but around 17% might be. And no, it isn't reserved for only white people, although it could be a factor for around 17% of them.
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“What we call chaos is just patterns we haven't recognized. What we call random is just patterns we can't decipher. What we can't understand we call nonsense. There is no free will. There are no variables. There is only the inevitable.” Chuck Palahniuk
Couldn't agree more. So why then one wonders do we hear so much about "the bradley effect" (it even gets a name to help its credibility) yet hear nothing about similar attitudes in black people?inedifix wrote:That depends on the number of black voters who voted for Obama because McCain is white, as opposed to those who voted for him because they think he was the best man for the job.micfur wrote:How about the other 'elephant in the rooom' that 95% of black people voted for Obama. Can we call them racists... or is that only reserved for white people?
The analysis suggests that around 17% of both whites and blacks, voted for racial reasons. So I guess the answers to your questions are no, 95% of black voters aren't racist, but around 17% might be. And no, it isn't reserved for only white people, although it could be a factor for around 17% of them.
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The general trust of the point being, this whole white guilt thing. Liberals love white guilt as much as catholics love guilt about, well most things I guess. And its a sin they love to hang around the necks of rural types rather than sophisticated city folk. All helps the stereotyping from the intolerant tolerant. Even now when Obama romps home, the talk is about a reverse Bradley effect where redneck voters are keen to be anti-Barak in public while secretly voting for him, speculation morphing into fact. The important thing for liberals is to be right about this no matter what the truth is.
micfur wrote:Couldn't agree more. So why then one wonders do we hear so much about "the bradley effect" (it even gets a name to help its credibility) yet hear nothing about similar attitudes in black people?
Yeah, think the operative bit from the article I posted in my last post is this one:micfur wrote:The important thing for liberals is to be right about this no matter what the truth is.
I think this may apply as much to you as it does to the US electorate, Micfur.“It says something about race and our culture that we were more likely to attribute racial motivation to people who disagree with us than to people who agree with us,” said Kathy Frankovic, the director of surveys at CBS News.
I guess 260 years of legalised slavery followed by 100 years of Jim Crow Laws topped up by the whole resistance to civil rights thing, had an effect on some white Americans. But there are still plenty on whom it didn't. Racism is always a complex issue to asses, but one thing is sure: it's never a level playing field.micfur wrote:The general trust of the point being, this whole white guilt thing. Liberals love white guilt as much as catholics love guilt about, well most things I guess.
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“What we call chaos is just patterns we haven't recognized. What we call random is just patterns we can't decipher. What we can't understand we call nonsense. There is no free will. There are no variables. There is only the inevitable.” Chuck Palahniuk